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  • Writer's pictureAvoid the Vig

Picks - NFL Week 13

*Check back for our Week 13 plays*

GAME: ND -16 @ Stanford (O/U52)

Notre Dame and Stanford will be keeping the ball on the ground. Major weather concerns in California this weekend. On Saturday, the forecast is 90% chance of rain and, even more importantly, 18 mph winds. This slopfest screams under.

3 Units: ND/STAN U52 (DraftKings) LOSS

GAME: CHI -5.5 @ DET (O/U 37)

In the last five Chicago Bears game, the Bears have a cumulative total of 0 points in the first quarter. Over the same time frame, their opponents have a cumulative total of 6 points in the first quarter. The Lions game hasn't faired as well in the first quarter. However, the last time these two teams played, just a few weeks ago, the first quarter score was 3-0. Since then the Bears have lost even more confidence in their quarterback and the Lions are now starting an unproven rookie QB. Lets roll the dice on the under in the first quarter.

2 Units: CHI/DET U7 1st Quarter (Fan Duel -114) LOSS

GAME: OAK +10 @ KC (O/U 51)

Much has been made of Andy Reid's successes off byes, but little has been discussed about these games propensities for unders. The Chiefs defense is above average, which will come as a surprise to many. Throw in 20 mph winds and 34 degrees, this game sets up as a dead under.

2 Units: OAK/KC U51 (William Hill -110) WON!

2 Units: OAK U20.5 Team Total (William Hill -110) WON!

GAME: NYJ -3 @ CIN (O/U43)

This is the Pros vs. Joes Game of the Week! The Bengals are absolutely awful. Because of their winless start, they now have a two game lead on the rest of the NFL for the first overall pick. How could anyone in their right minds pick the Bengals especially when they are only catching a field goal? The truth is, the Bengals are a great value. The players are still professionals and do not want to finish the year winless like the 2008, 0-16 Lions. First year coach, Zac Taylor wants to get off the snide as well and prove to ownership that he's worth a second year. Management would love a win, especially because it would not impact their draft slot. Andy Dalton is a huge upgrade from Ryan Finley. The entire team will be motivated for this all-in effort. The Bengals know this may be their best, if not their last, chance at a win.

3 Units: CIN +3 (PointsBet -105) WON!


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