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  • Writer's pictureAvoid the Vig

Picks - NFL Week 12

*Check back later in the week for more plays!*

GAME: POR -1.5 @ NOP (O/U 232.5)

Lillard is out tonight and the market is just starting to adjust. Grab this play now before it moves any further!

2 Units: NOP +1.5 (PointsBet -105) WIN!

2 Units: POR/NOP U232.5 (FanDuel -110) WIN!

GAME: DET -3.5 @ WAS (O/U42.5)

A large percentage of the Lions and Redskins points per game were with Stafford and Keenum at the helm. Both teams have a downgrade at quarterback this weekend, which will decrease the possibility of high scoring affairs. We see a ton of value grabbing the under 42.5 as both teams will look to lean on the run game.

2 Units: DET/WAS U42.5 (DraftKings -110) WIN!

GAME: JAX +3.5 @ TEN (O/U 41.5)

The Jags and Titans season-long points per game are extremely deceptive. Both teams have starting quarterbacks this week that were not at the helm early in the season. With an upgrade on both teams, we expect the total to go over on Sunday.

2 Units: JAX/TEN O41.5 (DraftKings -110) WIN!

GAME: DEN +3.5 @ BUF (O/U 37)

This game features two phony teams. Buffalo and Denver is not nearly as good as their record indicates. Buffalo has taken advantage of 6 of the worst teams in the NFL, which has padded their record and inflated their perception. Denver, on the other hand, is playing much better than their win/loss numbers would suggest. They have lost a slew of close games and when you are catching the hook, that might not be a bad thing. 64% of the tickets are on the Bills, but only 30% of the cash. We side with the sharps.

2 Units: Den +3.5 (PointsBet +100) LOSS


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