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  • Writer's pictureAvoid the Vig

Turnover Differential - NFL Week 6

There are millions of people that bet on sports, but only a few are truly successful at betting the NFL. One of the wiseguy secrets is using turnover differential to help shape their handicap. There is direct correlation between winning teams and a positive turnover differential. Below is a list of the NFL teams, their turnover differential, and point differential.

The chart below is an analysis of the team turnover differential and point differential. In order to analyze the data with more efficiency and effectiveness, we scaled the point differential score down to 10% of the point differential. The blue bar identifies the turnover differential, while the red bars identify the point differential.

The New York Jets have a positive turnover differential, yet the third lowest point differential. They may actually be a worse team than their numbers suggest. On the other hand, the Buffalo Bills are a negative turnover differential and a positive point differential. The Bills defense gets a lot of love for obvious reasons, but they have not been able to get turnovers as efficiently as the offense has been throwing interceptions and fumbling the ball.


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